IF NUMBERS SPEAK THIS COULD BE THE OUTCOME OF THE 2020 ELECTION. || BIC Abeiku Okai



Even though there are twelve candidates on the ballot, there are two major contenders going into the 2020 election in Ghana: The sitting president, Nana Addo Dankwa Akuffo-Addo of the NPP and the biggest opposition, John Mahama of the NDC.```

Between these two candidates are the  interplay of numbers that, when given critical attention, can reveal the outcome of the election and the situation in the next government. Let me state that I am not a numerologist. I only became curious about this facts because the numbers seem to be recurring to me and I know something is being communicated to me from wherever.

First of all this is the first time in Ghana that a sitting president and a former president are contesting election. The former president, John Mahama, is staging a comeback after being defeated by the incumbent president in 2016 with more than one million votes. The defeat was the biggest in Ghana's election history in the fourth republic (1992-2016). It is obvious that gap will not likely repeat itself in the 2020 election because one of the major factors that caused it was the voter apathy that engulfed the NDC stronghold in the Volta Region in 2020. It is likely that apathy would not repeat itself in 2020. 

Besides, the effect of incumbency and other factors such as the poor performance of some NPP MPs in certain constituencies will also cause Nana Addo to have his previous percentage reduced. If this doesn't happen then it would mean the policy of Free Senior High School, among others, have really worked out for the fortunes of the Nana Addo led government.

Against all other factors it can be observed that numbers seem to be playing central role in this election (it has always been so because election is all about numbers).

 First of all there seem to be the confusion of numbers within the NPP camp while the John Mahama camp has no problem battling with more than a particular number. The NPP supporters are slapped with three numbers, 2, 4, 1 while the NDC is standing firm with the number 2 only.

The NPP began with the advocacy for Nana Addo second term, causing them to start the campaign with the number 2, ie., 2 terms. They adopted the symbol of Nana Addo's spectacle, which he always wore especially when addressing the nation during the COVID 19 lockdown. For that was the time Nana Addo won the hearts of several Ghanaians as a father figure. 

Meanwhile, because the NPP needs re-election to hold on to power for the next four years they also found themselves campaigning for 'four more years to do more', coded, "4More2DoMore". In this code we see both 4 and 2 appearing together. This cannot be coincidental.

In the analysis of the role of numbers, even in biblical analysis, 6 is the number of man. But 6 is a fragile number just as humans are fragile. 6 is also 1 short of perfection (#7) and 1 beyond grace (#5). Even though 6 is a lucky number it doesn't give solid answers or guarantees success because while it is short of perfect (#7) it requires more than grace (#5) to play in one's favour. It requires hard work just as Adam was created on the 6th day to work. Hence, with 2 and 4 playing out in the NPP Campaign it could mean the chances of the NPP winning or losing cannot be determined - it is a 50-50 chance.

But then hold on a while, the balloting to be positioned on the ballot paper comes in to change that dynamics. The position on the ballot probably came very late for some parties, particularly the NPP, to have waited to start campaigning on numbers. Because the NPP had already popularised 2 and 4 in their campaign they obviously would have preferred either the 2nd or 4th position on the ballot. If this had happened then by numerical analysis the party's chance of winning would still stand at 50-50.

However, Nana Addo had the 1st position on the ballot and it gave the party some mixed feelings. They were disappointed but had to embrace it with joy because it is also an easy to identify position for voters. The problem then arose where the party had to switch the campaign from 2nd term or 4 more to number 1 on the ballot. However, this switch has not proven any strong for the campaign that the three numbers seem to find almost equal footings in the soup, causing some NPP voters to be ignorant of where Nana Addo stands on the ballot. 

This again cannot be coincidence. And that brings us to 2, 4, 1. Here is the point: 2+4+1=7. That takes Nana Addo from the number 6, which is a 50-50 chance to the number 7, which is a perfect declaration of absolute win in the 2020 election.

Therefore, Nana Addo will win the election. But don't rejoice yet. This will be his major setback both before and after winning. The year 2020 is not good for anyone due to the challenges it brought worldwide. It will continue to trouble the Nana Addo led administration even in the next four years.

(2+4+1)+2020 = 7+2+0+2+0=11. 

11 is a number that is a step ahead of 10 and a step below 12. 10 is a number of order while 12 is a number of government. What this means is that for the next four years Nana Addo will have more problems dealing with order in the nation and several of the people in his government will create problems for him. Because of the Ghanaian tradition of changing government every 8 years the appointees of the government will be more interested in securing their wealth and social status should the party go into opposition in 2024, they will resort to practises that might not help consolidate the gains of the president.

The NDC too, in hope of coming into power in 2024 (which is not being predicted yet), will become more aggressive against the government and make his every move challenging. Besides, the NDC is likely to increase its numbers and voice in parliament, which will also give the government some hell of a time. 

To solve this problem the president, Nana Addo Dankwa Akuffo Addo, should be firmer than he has ever been and strengthen the Office of the Special Prosecutor without fear or favour. He should not be discouraged by the happenings around the office. It is still the Special Prosecutor  office that will help him if he really wishes to keep his legacy strongly affirmed within the Ghanaian voters. For as long as that office has become his biggest downside nearing the 2020 election it is also a proof that it is the sword that will save him,  putting his own people also in check. He should be firmer against corruption and his appointees should be more loyal to his plans and policies than their personal interests. 

Concerning John Mahama, who is also 2nd on the ballot, the number 2 could mean a 2nd defeat, 2nd victory (ie a 2nd chance). A second defeat is imminent but things can miraculously turn around in his favour because the number 2 is an impression of a changing face and an unexpected turn around of event. Should he win the election it will be one of the biggest shocks to Ghanaians, especially supporters of the NPP, which might result in depression and other challenges within the party. But for the NDC to win the election they will need massive partnership with the other parties on the ballot. The other parties the NDC will need will be 10, the number of order.

Therefore, the only way the NDC can come into power is if the election goes into a run-off. Should that happen then the NDC should be smarter and quicker to win the support of all the opposition parties as it is usually expected in such situation. They should never be over confidence to go solo.  They should chart a solid partnership agreement with the other parties and make sure they do not betray Mahama with lips service. They should also bring the rank and file of the party on board and make sure they have a solid team to turn the table in their favour. 2 is a number of partnership.

Unfortunately for the NDC because the number 2 appears also in the NPP fortunes it is likely the NPP might be more appealing to win the support of most of the opposition parties. Therefore, the NDC has to start work now in bringing the smaller parties together and pray the election goes into a run-off.

Meanwhile, going into a run-off will not guarantee a absolute win as stated above. It will be a 50-50 chance because 2+(2020)= 2+2+0+2+0= 6. I have already explained the dynamics of 6. It is a lucky number but very unpredictable.

Should the NDC win power, which is unlikely, the country will be fragile as most of the promises of the NDC will be hastily implemented with errors. 

To solve this problem the NDC should give a more stronger attention to the implementation of fewer policies in their first term than try to do all just to win electoral favour. They should focus on Education, Infrastructure and Job creation to ensure the flow of money in the system. But they should watch out against inflation because it will haunt them.

Disclaimer: I am not writing as a prophet or a numerologist or an advocate of any political party. I have only shared what is occurring to me even as the numbers keep dancing in my sight. You can choose to ignore this post or give attention to it. 


Thank you.

BIC Abeiku Okai (0249287855)

30/11/2020

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